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Recession indicator 'blinking red,' warns economist
An economist has warned that the recent increase in America’s unemployment rate represents an especially concerning signal for the labor market and wider U.S. economy. On X, Justin Wolfers, a ...
Forget the Fed. Forget nonfarm employment. Forget even industrial production and real income. For Jim Paulsen, the real recession indicator is watching Walmart. Paulsen, former chief investment ...
But the yield curve being the ‘right-way up’ doesn’t mean a recession won’t occur. Just as an inverted yield curve shouldn’t ...
Trying to predict recessions is one of the most popular pastimes in the financial markets. There's a running joke that says certain people have predicted nine of the past five recessions. Fear tends ...
The Mary Sue on MSN
Man says he sees a ‘recession indicator’ in his old rental neighborhood. Rent is cheap, but they’re leaving in droves
Caleb Cooks (@calebcooks94) has moved out of his apartment. He said several other tenants have also moved out of his neighborhood, and although rent is affordable in his area, no one is moving into ...
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Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague ...
The indicators collectively are becoming more negative, but they are not signalling that a recession is imminent. Read more ...
The U.S. economy is strong, but a valuation problem looms over the stock market.
While the consumer discretionary sector has been the fourth-worst performer among the S&P 500’s 11 sectors this year, eBay has bucked that trend. The stock is up around 20% in 2026, easily ...
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